← Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Grand Archive HVN Regionals #2
decks
2
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
6-5-4
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.9%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1426
· median 1426
· range 1304–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1010
Q1 1234
Q3 1454
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 19.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Wind Allies | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.2% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Guo Jia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
